2
Watermelons 2 points ago +2 / -0

Don't you know bigfoot emits a visual distortion field so all pictures of him are blurry...

19
Watermelons 19 points ago +19 / -0

I said this shit 8 months ago with my only top level post. Anyone who took a basic statistics class should know this.

1
Watermelons 1 point ago +1 / -0

No worries. I've been telling anyone who'd listen this spiel.

Usually, I just draw a table with the 3 columns: disease, no disease and total and three rows: positive test, negative test and total. I pick a sensitivity of 1 just to make it fast. Then I grab a total of 100,000 and whatever the positivity rate is. Then using sensitivity of 1 and specificty of 0.95, I fill in the cells and explain how the false positives are overwhelming. The specificity is from the roche test for the annual flu (0.941 flu B and 0.96 flu A). I explain this as the best possible case and that the Covid sensitivity and specificity is much less. I also explain that the counts are high because some places report several positive tests on the same person as several cases.

By my estimation, 75-95% of Covid positives are false.

2
Watermelons 2 points ago +2 / -0

Spot on, but it's specificity and sensitivity. See my only top level post from 9 months ago.

1
Watermelons 1 point ago +1 / -0

You won't regret it. I got my equipment from rogue on their black Friday sale. $2k for a setup that will last a lifetime.

1
Watermelons 1 point ago +1 / -0

Simpson's paradox.

2
Watermelons 2 points ago +2 / -0

Your right. It devalues money arbitrarily. Eventually the market catches up and there are now more poor.

1
Watermelons 1 point ago +1 / -0

The value of the dollar is not strictly fiat. It is tied strongly to the value of unskilled labor, or, minimum wage.

1
Watermelons 1 point ago +1 / -0

One of my earliest memories of him is the backwards Bill Clinton watch.

1
Watermelons 1 point ago +1 / -0

It's just how the job marketplace works. In order to have a really good shot at getting an interview for a job, you need to know someone in the company or know someone who knows someone. This is why networking is far more important than anything else given you meet the minimum requirements. Otherwise your resume gets filtered out through the shitty automated systems that companies use.

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Watermelons 9 points ago +10 / -1

This dude is a basement dweller if he's this white. Looks like he's never in the sun.

1
Watermelons 1 point ago +1 / -0

Not can they tell the difference between mass distributed ballots and absentee ballots.

1
Watermelons 1 point ago +1 / -0

A coworker and I were talking about this. I posed the question: why do cities vote more D than R. I made a similar argument that you just did. Basically that you have to be self reliant in a rural area.

1
Watermelons 1 point ago +1 / -0

From your original map, there is no indication that it is per capita. The article indicated that the numbers are absolute and not a population rate.

Your statement might be true, but it's not in your map in the post.

https://crimeresearch.org/2017/04/number-murders-county-54-us-counties-2014-zero-murders-69-1-murder/

2
Watermelons 2 points ago +2 / -0 (edited)

One of the best man show skits was the one where they got signatures to end women's suffrage. I'll see if I can find the clip.

Edit Here it is https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=XazBHgivABM

3
Watermelons 3 points ago +4 / -1

So, places with high population have high murder numbers.

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