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Thracka951 [S] 2 points ago

It is doubling every 2-3 days, and what we see as confirmed cases today is a picture of what the spread was two weeks ago.

Double the current numbers 3-5 times and you’ll have a good indication of the actual spread as it is today. Not that number on a piece of paper and look at it and the confirmed cases in two weeks, and feel free to come back and call me an asshole if I’m wrong.

When this is all said and done people are going to have a much better, more intuitive understanding of exponential growth curves.

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Thracka951 [S] 2 points ago

I’m a former paramedic and friends with a lot of guys and gals still in EMS/emergency medicine. Suburban New England area and there is a lot of suspected and confirmed cases, lots of folks in full respiratory failure/ARDS. My buddy was showing me a cellphone video yesterday of a guy filling his ET tube with pink froth while they struggled to jury rig a PEEP valve to the vent in the back of the ambulance — can’t share because it was already a HIPPA violation when he showed it to me.

I get the distrust of media, and if I hadn’t been following this since early January I’d probably be skeptical too. The fact of the matter is that this is not a hoax. I really hope you’re taking precautions to protect yourself and your family.

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Thracka951 [S] 2 points ago

Could have sworn it was the “Wuhan Hiding and Obfuscation” department.

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Thracka951 [S] 5 points ago

Be nice to “Naruto Pelosi” — that’s what my ‘tween son started calling her after her whole Jui jitsu comment lol.

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Thracka951 [S] 8 points ago

Sorry bro. Hopefully he sees through her bullshit eventually, most kids eventually learn to see through that kind of bullshit, especially if you just keep trying to set a good example.

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Thracka951 [S] 4 points ago

To be fair, I have cringed every time he’s called out the DOW — yes, he’s right, but I can already see the attack ads.

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Thracka951 [S] 26 points ago

Yeah, I’m buying on the way down and will continue buying on the way back up.

Guys, resist to the urge to pull out of your investments and lock in the losses.

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Thracka951 [S] 6 points ago

I’m with you guys a lot of the time, but if you don’t keep a bit of food and medicine on hand at all times you’re just begging for trouble. I keep 2-3 months worth of food and supplies in my pantry at all times and it’s been great several times after big storms. It also lets me buy food when it is on sale. Because I only stock things I use and rotate through it, it actually saves a ton of money.

Thankfully I am constantly remodeling my house so I already had a big pile of N95 masks and gloves.

I did spend a bit beefing up my supplies in anticipation of people panicking, and dropped off the excess and stuff I opted to cycle out at the local community food pantry.

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Thracka951 [S] 10 points ago

I’m not an expert in infectious disease, but a former critical care paramedic who spent a couple years with Medical Reserve Corps.

Yes, test kits would be useful, but with limited resources to tackle an uncontrolled pandemic, the priority needs to be on therapeutic and palliative care and the rapid expansion of treatment capacity. In a situation like this you treat the patient (which means you deliver treatment based on presentation) and whether they’re suffering from Covid-19 or influenza is totally irrelevant beyond knowing about precautions (which are the same either way).

It’s much better to put limited resources into things like setting up emergency isolation facilities, building out ICU capacity, and laying out the logistics to control the main spread.

People whining about test kits are wasting their energy on something that ultimately was almost pointless after early January in the first place.

Treat the patient, not the test.

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Thracka951 [S] 4 points ago

I hope that she gets well and that Justin remains healthy. I may hold his policies and positions in contempt, but all life is precious.

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Thracka951 [S] 1 point ago

My personal tinfoil hat bet is that this is the answer they’ve come up with to dig out of the consequences of their disastrous one-child policy.

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Thracka951 [S] 7 points ago

Are you retiring in the next year? If not, don’t worry about it, keep putting in money for your dollar cost averaging, and resist the temptation to pull out or you’ll have already eaten the bulk of the dip and miss out on the bump.

I have two Fidelity accounts, one I put in S&P index funds and a few of the breakouts like the FUTY, etc and leave alone. Other account I have a couple grand in to “play with” — it’s essentially my version of a scratch ticket. I’ve lost a much greater percentage by “playing” than by riding it out in my main account. ** to be clear, none of this is my retirement, one is to play and one is for excess money that it doesn’t make sense to keep in checking or a low yield savings account.

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Thracka951 [S] 8 points ago

My tinfoil hat theory based on the effectiveness by age is that this was their answer to getting out of the disaster they created with the one-child policy.

Too many elderly mouths to feed so they come up with a commie solution and presto: nCov.

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Thracka951 [S] 4 points ago

Exactly. The spread now is probably four doublings higher, so 1.6m. This isn’t something that can be contained and so logically the priority should be on building capacity and therapeutics and test kits would be pretty far down on the priority list.

Just something to get people wound up and blame on the President whose busy doing triage on an unbelievable scale.

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Thracka951 [S] 9 points ago *

Trump will come out of this looking strong and in control while the Dems continue their circular firing squad antics. In the meantime, get your buy orders in for some discounted stocks and index funds!

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Thracka951 [S] 7 points ago

I disagree, but hope you’re right. Even if it were all BS and they’re successful in getting people panicked, that doesn’t change the fact that we will probably have panic buying disrupting availability of goods and services — it’s never a bad idea to have a few weeks worth of food, cash and meds on hand — if nothing comes of it just cycle it into your regular usage cycle and continue on.

Self-reliance and preparedness is nothing to be ashamed of.

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Thracka951 [S] 12 points ago

Stock up on extra of whatever you use normally rather than buying a bunch of MREs and such, and look for shelf-stable versions or substitutes where possible in case of supply line disruption. I expect to see panic buying start in earnest.

Good idea to keep extra medications on hand and cash stashed securely in case there is a run on banks.

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Thracka951 [S] 1 point ago

It being scheduled for MLK day just raises more red flags for me than a Chinese military parade.

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