Larry is all over the place to be honest.
Texas (if you trust party modeling) shows R's up 10%+ in early voting
Florida seems to have some momentum for R's with in person early vote beginning to massively eat into the lead that dems had with mail in.
PA is the problem spot right now. Dems have something like a 20% lead in early voting
Would they really want to face the embarrassment AGAIN? It is worrying to see them so confident again BUT
PA is the KEY
PA IS THE KEY
The most negative would not include Michigan or AZ
Temujin “the hunter”. Genghis khan.
Some say joe Biden used that coin back in the day
PA is the main target.
I’m not guessing. PA is the state that matters most to trump. I’ll leave it at that.
He and Larry schwkawkeiekajart were HORRIFYINGLY wrong in 2018
Can you check vote Hillary vote trump from 2012?
that ended up being pretty close. thats a national polling average. she ended up 2.1% up
we would win in that scenario right?
Close election. Need this map to be true and then flip AZ and one of MI and PA to win
Okay, so it’s data from sources you don’t agree with. That’s fine, why would you deport for disagreeing with you on that? Tons of people are saying Rs are up in Michigan and WI based on target smart data
weird stuff coming out of you. Data discussion should be welcome here, If you don't tufts university data then check target smart.
Dems are up 43% - 30% in Early voting in miami dade
This data is to check if overall early vote is up by the same percentage as the youth vote. ITS NOT. Why is that hard to understand?
2016 - 44,107
2020 - 257,720
The percentage increase is actually 484%. If EV was up the same percetnage overall then it would be a wash, however early voting is at 92% of 2016 level so far.
Early voting data is available live here. https://joeisdone.github.io/florida/
I did the math... Increase from 44,107 to 257,720
They are spending like crazy on TV ads. They just broke the record on most money ever spent on TV ads
Yes it will embolden the radical LEFT like never before. Socialism is on the menu