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Inspector_Cheez 2 points ago +2 / -0 (edited)

Not being discussed here:

PA, MI, WI, MN. All considered swing states now and all heavily analyzed elsewhere. MN would be the biggest win of these since it hasn't gone red since 1972.

Good chance:

OR: My crazy batpoop insane prediction: TRUMP WINS OREGON

Yes, I know Oregon is heavily associated with BLMAntifa and general moonbattery. But Portland is the only major city in the state and its metro area (Multnomah County) provides the vast majority of Dem votes. Portland has been absolutely devastated by BLMAntifa and I think there are some people there who will stay home or even vote Trump to counter the BLMAntifa scourge. There is also the mayoral election, in which idiot Mayor Ted Wheeler is being challenged by antifa candidate Sarah Porthole-Glasses Iannarone. The prospect of an antifa-tolerant candidiate and a completely antifa candidiate may drive some people to vote Trump for their own protection. I'm also betting that Portland's share of the total vote in Oregon will decrease. Governor Kate Brown is one of the main Dem governors who trampled the 1st Amendment with lockdowns, hurting businesses all over the state. Meanwhile, the counties southwest of Portland have been trending red enough for Pete Defazio to actually be worried about losing to Alex Skarlatos (one of the men who stopped the jihadi on the train to Paris). I think the environment has changed enough in Oregon to give Trump a chance. OR is vote-by-mail. But as in WA, Dems could be hard-pressed to find emergency votes in the event of MUCH higher than expected Republican turnout, which is what they will get with Trump.

Well, anyway, it's my thread and I gotta throw something crazy out there, so this is it!

NH: Trump came within a few thousand of beating Crooked here in 2016 and he has held rallies there. Who knows how many Massholes and New Yorkers fled there this summer, though.

Middling chance:

VA. I know I'm probably being overly optimistic here, but nearly every Virginian who lives outside the DC orbit counties (Fairfax, Loudon, Arlington, Prince William), Charlottesville, Richmond, and Norfolk will be voting for Trump. He only lost in VA to Side-O-Beef by 5 points, Governor KKK Gun-Grabber Baby-Killer Blackface is despised in VA, and the last election of any note was the Staunton City Council, a light blue city in which all Dems lost their seats. The swamp counties will send forth the hordes of invading Trump-hating carpetbaggers to vote Biden. The question for me is whether or not the Republicans in north VA show up in sufficient numbers to dilute the blue votes.

NV. Trump is holding rallies there, which means he sees something potentially happening. Perhaps Sisolak's aggressive lockdown policies hurt enough businesses in LV and Reno to depress Dem turnout. I trust Trump's judgement, although Sisolak is doing his best to throw things open to fraud.

Small Chance:

CO. Apparently fracking is a big deal here, and Biden's foolish remarks about killing fossil fuels aren't going to help him.

NM. Same impact from fracking. NM pedes have stated that Gary Johnson's 5% stole NM from Trump last time, so perhaps with Gary off the ballot Trump has a chance here.

WA. Jay Insreeeee is a complete disaster as governor, damaging both the apple industry and the aeronautics industry (Boeing) through his incompetence. Washingtonians want him OUT of the governor's mansion, and if there was ever a time the Dems would lose a statewide race in WA, it's this year. Trump must overcome Seattle, although Seattle suffered badly at the hands of BLMAntifa and the CHOP/CHAZ disaster - perhaps that would change a few minds there, But he must also overcome mail-in voting. WA has been all mail-in for years and Dems win nearly all of those elections. But Dems could be hard-pressed to find emergency votes in the event of MUCH higher than expected Republican turnout.

Microscopic chance:

NY. I turned this red as clickbait, but Cuomo and DeBlasio have savaged NYC and its businesses and DeBlasio is pretty much persecuting the Orthodox Jews of NYC. Upstate NY is red - is it possible for enough Dems in NYC to wake up or stay home for Trump to have a chance?

MD. Dan Bongino called MD the most difficult state for a Republican to win in, but... Kim Klacik is polling much higher than expected against Kweisei Mfume in Baltimore and if Trump really does get a record number of black votes, he will do surprisingly well there. But even if he gets some black voters supporting him, he still must overcome the swampy DC orbit counties full of people that hate him.

CA. We all know there are millions of loyal conservatives behind enemy lines in CA, and they are furious about the plundering the Dems have done in their beautiful home. Mike Garcia won by 10 points in the last special election held in CA, and it's hard to imagine anyone happy with how Gruesome Newsome has bulldozed the First Amendment there. But because of the mail-in ballot shenanigans, ballot harvesting, and the overwhelming desire of CA Dems to cheat, it seems nearly impossible for Trump to win CA unless all the Hispanics there suddenly vote red. BUT heavy turnout is critical for Republicans to take back some of the House seats stolen in 2018, and CA Republicans are key to Trump winning the popular vote. He ought to hold a rally there just because.

HI. Deep blue, but yet another state where the Dems (and ONLY Dems) have destroyed the state's industry (tourism) through lockdowns. A Republican may win the Honolulu Mayor's race and apparently there is a decent contingent of Trump supporters there. Hawaii may not respond well to Biden's threats of another lockdown, which would be doom for the economy there. It's probably not happening, but if Hawaii is ever going to vote Republican, it's this year.

ME (besides ME-2). Trump apparently has helped the fishing industry there by lifting a lot of Obama regulations. However, he also imposed an oil drilling ban in the same area. It's a fairly normal state for New England. Anyone have a better idea?

No Way:

The most insane New England states, Bidenland, Obamaland, NJ, and DC. NJ and IL are weird enough to sometimes elect Republicans statewide, so there may be something there, especially if Trump makes inroads with the black vote. But I just don't know those states well enough to rate them any higher.

DC, MA, RI, DE, VT, CT, IL

6
Inspector_Cheez 6 points ago +6 / -0

The French have often been treacherous, but they haven't always been cowards. Beginning from the vast empire of Charlemagne (who is claimed by both the French and Germans), they were effectively the superpower of Europe for most of the Middle Ages because of their central location, vast areas of quality farmland, and advanced cavalry and infantry tactics. France was so dominant in the early modern era that most European nobility spoke French. The French also controlled colonies and vassal states throughout Europe and North America. It was only after the defeat of Napoleon that the UK and later the USA eclipsed their dominance on the world scene. That said, the French have been often been sneaky and underhanded in their domestic and international affairs for years, and, as seen in the French Revolution and their bloody persecution of faithful Catholics in the Vendée, they have also been brutal to their own people.

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Inspector_Cheez 1 point ago +1 / -0

Real shame this creep got re-elected in 2018. Ohio needs to stop sending Dems to the Senate; it's a waste of a good Trump state's representation.

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Inspector_Cheez 5 points ago +5 / -0

Yeah, I don't think Collins is going to get many votes from lefty psychos like this even if she didn't vote for ACB.

Dems will just see REPUBLICANS BADDD and will vote Collins out just because.

1
Inspector_Cheez 1 point ago +1 / -0

Someone needs to print these stickers in blue and white and apply them to all Biteme/Harris signs. Maybe throw a hammer and sickle in there too.

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Inspector_Cheez 2 points ago +2 / -0

Biden got a butt-ton of money from BLM/ActBlue over the last couple of months (and probably the Chinese as well); of course they have plenty for signs and most Dems houses are happy to accept them.

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Inspector_Cheez 2 points ago +2 / -0

I cancelled Prime because of Amazon's support of BLMAntifa and their hyper-leftist programming.

But I'll watch this movie when I can, even if I have to buy it. John Milius himself is a great filmmaker and I'm interested to see how his daughter Amanda has followed in his footsteps.

1
Inspector_Cheez 1 point ago +1 / -0

Good news here for sure, but Rasmussen has been weird this year.

He had Trump even with Bribem a few weeks ago, then he dropped to -8 and -12 (lol) before creeping back up. During that time, Ras had him drop to 78% support among Republicans. WTF. The -12 was during his brief bout with the coof.

I trust Ras more than the worthless Dem-heavy fake polls that the idiotic Real Stupid Politics average uses and that Nate Silver loves, but all polls are crap this year. Just have to swamp the Dems beyond the margin of fraud on Election Day.

2
Inspector_Cheez 2 points ago +2 / -0

Probably not, but it is circling enough on conservative blogs that some of it has probably seeped up to the normie level.

GP's story is serious enough that one of the tabloid papers might pick it up, such as the Sun, DailyMail, National Enquirer, etc. The NY Post is sort of in this category too and may decide to pull the trigger on another Biden story. A LOT of people read these papers and if it gets into one or more, people are going to find out and the US MSM will have a hard time hiding it.

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Inspector_Cheez 2 points ago +2 / -0

Came here to say this. The virus doesn't have a little virus jet engine to use to fly through your mask like Lando Calrissian blowing up the 2nd death star. It typically infects by riding on respiratory droplets or "fomites" - you touch your eyes or nose or mouth with a hand that the virus has landed on.

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Inspector_Cheez 17 points ago +17 / -0

If only this would anger enough northern VA lefties to refrain from voting, perhaps Virginia would go to Trump and Warner's dumb ass would lose.

Northern VAians are always angry, through.

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Inspector_Cheez 9 points ago +10 / -1

No, they don't. Most of them have no idea the totally public video of Biden creeping on young girls (especially Chris Coons's daughter) even exists. And I believe Twitter bans anyone who shares it. They have absolutely no clue that this horrific train wreck is going on in the Biden family, and they don't want to know. That's why it's important the major media outlets get shamed (by us) into covering it - then the mind-numbed Dem voters will be confronted by the truth.

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Inspector_Cheez 6 points ago +6 / -0

Whoa, whoa! Get Coolidge up to at least "A" tier! Major league tax-cutter who supercharged the economy and got out of the way. He's famous for "The Business of America is Business." He also managed the public-private response to massive flooding on the Mississippi without using taxpayer money.

He also made this profoundly based observation on the Declaration of Independence:

"About the Declaration there is a finality that is exceedingly restful. It is often asserted that the world has made a great deal of progress since 1776, that we have had new thoughts and new experiences which have given us a great advance over the people of that day, and that we may therefore very well discard their conclusions for something more modern. But that reasoning can not be applied to this great charter. If all men are created equal, that is final. If they are endowed with inalienable rights, that is final. If governments derive their just powers from the consent of the governed, that is final. No advance, no progress can be made beyond these propositions. If anyone wishes to deny their truth or their soundness, the only direction in which he can proceed historically is not forward, but backward toward the time when there was no equality, no rights of the individual, no rule of the people. Those who wish to proceed in that direction can not lay claim to progress. They are reactionary. Their ideas are not more modern, but more ancient, than those of the Revolutionary fathers."

1
Inspector_Cheez 1 point ago +1 / -0

The Nation is super mega ultra left wing.

Here is an archive link so you don't have to give these assholes clicks:

https://archive.is/0Ht2z

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Inspector_Cheez 4 points ago +4 / -0

If Trump deports this cretin, he will immediately be acclaimed the greatest man in the USA and the UK. Nobody likes Harry and his frankenwife.

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Inspector_Cheez 6 points ago +6 / -0

She doesn't have a lot of charisma for an assault aircraft pilot.

She had the 2018 election stolen from her with fake votes.

McSally does, however, vote with Trump, and she's a million times better than the fugly gun-grabbing China stooge Mark Kelly.

4
Inspector_Cheez 4 points ago +4 / -0

Yo. We're gonna fire that idiot Inslee. But I am waiting until the last minute to mail my ballot, because I live in a Republican area and figure it has a better chance of being counted at the last minute when they are trying to find votes to steal elections.

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Inspector_Cheez 3 points ago +3 / -0

Whatever happened to Cesar Sayoc anyway? Did they throw him in the same cell with the guy that made the anti-Islam video that Susan Rice and Obama lied about?

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Inspector_Cheez 2 points ago +2 / -0

Mitch doesn't care if he's Senate Minority Leader. He did just fine for himself under Obama. He'll still have a prime place at the trough, but without any responsibilities.

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