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21
Yawnz13 21 points ago +22 / -1

Should tell us one of two things (or both):

  1. Republicans aren't as likely to take part in polls (either at all or answering who they'll really vote for).

  2. The polls are entirely made up.

9
DiscoverAFire 9 points ago +9 / -0

There's excessive amounts of data showing the disparity between polls and real-world results. If they were actually trying to predict results they would use the (trivially easy to implement) correction factors from previous polls.

They're not trying to predict the results. They're trying to pump up their team, demoralize the other team, and provide cover for fraud.

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Yawnz13 3 points ago +3 / -0

Option 2 it is!

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ManyDirt 2 points ago +2 / -0

In actuarial science for retirement plans we do this. For plans that deviate from standard mortality tables we do "experience studies" to correct for the deviation. Easy to do if you care about getting it right.

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BasteSpuds 2 points ago +2 / -0

Honestly most people that support Trump myself included don't post bills publicly. I know many of you are MAGA flag waving but I for one don't answer political phone calls or put shit on my car or house. Polls mean Jack. New Yorkers don't post many bills because we don't want our shit vandalized.

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Yawnz13 5 points ago +5 / -0

It's like polls about guns. How many people that you know who own guns and are conservative/Republican, etc. answer those truthfully or at all?

As for phone calls, I don't even pick up unless I know or have a good idea who's calling.

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BasteSpuds 3 points ago +3 / -0

Amen. I often question owning a mobile phone because I screen 99% of calls for whatever reason.

I cant speak for everyone but most right leaning/conservative personality types are leery of strangers asking personal questions on any matter. At least in my experience and people I personally know.

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visorak 2 points ago +2 / -0

I mean, the mobility of the phone doesn't change the fact that most calls will not be picked up. Home phones also get spam calls, you know?

Honestly I prefer mobile phones in this case because the caller ID is better and matched with contacts. Voicemail is a pretty garbage system though. Not that landline message recorders were ever better...

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Yawnz13 1 point ago +1 / -0

I use my smartphone as a portable library and it has revolutionized waiting, i.e. doctor visits, car rides, etc.