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Comments (19)
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substantialmajestic 9 points ago +9 / -0

The Obama coalition was extremely unique. It included the African American block plus the college kids plus the white liberals plus the independents. Hillary couldn't get any of them and neither will Biden.

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deleted 5 points ago +5 / -0
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substantialmajestic 3 points ago +3 / -0

Exactly.

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John-Miller 4 points ago +4 / -0

Trafalgar group PA poll has Trump slightly ahead

https://twitter.com/RobertCahaly/status/1321103067933249536

This group was one of a few pollsters that predicted the 2016 result

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truthmoan 3 points ago +3 / -0

Why is getting Obama raw number hard for Joe? Its been 12 years, voter pool grew larger since then

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deleted 3 points ago +3 / -0
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deleted 1 point ago +1 / -0
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grassshrimp 2 points ago +2 / -0

Good analysis. Don't know why haters have a problem with us doing our own analysis, we can think and convince others to vote at the same time.

Another factor is an increasing share of the Black and Hispanic vote. I think we get at least 10% more Black votes to about 20% overall and at least 40% of the Hispanic vote.

It's becoming more probable that we win total votes. Yes, the obligatory but let's vote comment - even though every single person here no doubt is highly motivated.

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Ghislaines_Ghost 1 point ago +4 / -3

Just vote. This analysis doesn't mean dick. It's all speculation.

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deleted 8 points ago +9 / -1
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deleted 1 point ago +1 / -0
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deleted -1 points ago +1 / -2 (edited)
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grassshrimp 2 points ago +2 / -0

We can share our analysis and convince others to vote, I don't know why you feel the need to shit on a fellow pede for sharing his thoughts. Kind of condescending telling OP he has more productive ways to spend their time - don't you think?

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deleted 0 points ago +1 / -1
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grassshrimp 2 points ago +2 / -0

There is headline news everywhere that Biden is 15 points ahead, potentially causing Trump supporters to give up and not vote.

This kind of analysis is helpful to explain how the 15 point's is bullshit and to give Trump supporters realistic hope that their vote counts.

If you don't like it, simply don't read. But it serves a purpose to others.

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deleted 1 point ago +1 / -0
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deleted 1 point ago +1 / -0
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TakingCoatsWIN 1 point ago +1 / -0

I wonder if the Philly riots are throwing a wrench into all the polling at the last minute.

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Reddawn90 -5 points ago +3 / -8

Dont care, didn't read. Go vote.